Penellype's Weather Channel 2

[Plot70]

Just wait for the daffs to come out. They almost always attract hail stones for some strange reason.
My snowdrops are also out.

[sandspider]

Thank you. It doesn't feel too warm to me, but I suppose it could certainly be colder, and often is at this time of year.

At least the snowdrops are out, and daffs not too far away.

[Penellype]

Any idea when things might start to warm up?!

It is already warm for February - the monthly average is nearly 3 degrees above normal for this time of year according to the Central England Temperature from the Met Office. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/...info_mean.html

Over the next few days the temperature will fluctuate up and down as warm and cold fronts move through associated with the storms and low pressure systems.

If the longer range models are to be believed, there is little chance of prolonged cold into March, and if (as currently forecast) high pressure builds from the south in a week or so, it could start to feel quite spring-like. However, the polar vortex is very strong and for now at least, any high that tries to build seems likely to get flattened fairly quickly by low pressure from the west.

[sandspider]

Thanks Pen.

Any idea when things might start to warm up?!

[Bren In Pots]

Thanks for the heads up Pen.

[Penellype]

TWO named storms on the way this week - Dudley on Wednesday into Thursday, bringing damaging winds to the northern half of England and southern Scotland. There is an amber warning here. Storm Eunice arrives on Friday - there is much less certainty about this one, with the models all over the place. Currently the Met Office have a yellow warning for most of England and Wales, but this is almost certain to change and if forecast gusts of upto 100mph in places are correct, it will be upgraded too. Most likely areas for damaging winds are the midlands southwards, depending on the track of the low.

On the northern side of Friday's low there is the potential for heavy snow. How far south this is depends crucially on the track of the low, so if you avoid the winds you may well get the snow.

Keep an eye on the warnings page for updates https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather...ce/uk-warnings.

[Purple Primrose]

We've had high winds, lashing rain and sleet all last night and today so all the day's ferries were cancelled. The wind is dying down now though (currently force 8 gusting 9) so it's not as loud and the roof tiles have stopped flapping. The forecast for tomorrow is calm enough that I might even manage to get out into the garden or down to the shore to collect any seaweed that's been washed up by the storm.

[Chippy Minton]

Amber warning for wind for the north of Scotland just appeared on the Met Office website. Looks like they're updating. Weather for hereabouts has windy for most of the week other than tomorrow!

[Penellype]

The 2nd low pressure due on Sunday into Monday has now been named Storm Corrie. I'm not sure how they decide when to name these - I thought it was supposed to be when there was an amber warning, but there isn't any amber warning for this storm so far.

[Chippy Minton]

Calm when I got up (greyhound "Yip!" o'clock) but it's getting breezy now. Been out checking for loose items. A day for indoor sowing I think.

[Penellype]

There is now an amber wind warning for parts of eastern Scotland and NE England for today. This storm has been named Malik by the Danish met institute, as it is deepening as it tracks east towards Europe. The wind forecast for Sunday into Monday is a different area of low pressure, and although the yellow warnings affect a larger area, this has not yet been named.

[Bren In Pots]

The local met office in my area has just switched to yellow for Sunday and Monday.

Same for our area plot70

[Plot70]

The local met office in my area has just switched to yellow for Sunday and Monday.

[Penellype]

Some very windy weather arriving tomorrow, especially in the north. No Met Office warnings as yet, but I expect there will be as strong gusts are forecast. We haven't had gales for a while, so check that garden furniture, wheelie bins etc are secure and keep an eye on any plastic covers that might blow off.

[Bren In Pots]

Thanks for the update Pen, the sunshine was nice while it was here.